Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.196662 0.221770 0.248285 0.278316 0.311324 0.346442 0.386569
2025-06-15 0.166444 0.200888 0.239286 0.285066 0.337950 0.396906 0.467377
2025-06-22 0.141289 0.181049 0.227519 0.285410 0.355135 0.435922 0.536088
2025-06-29 0.121838 0.164865 0.217337 0.285302 0.370193 0.471867 0.601904
2025-07-06 0.106361 0.151365 0.208432 0.284994 0.383774 0.505584 0.665635
2025-07-13 0.095366 0.142132 0.203572 0.288640 0.401588 0.544468 0.736641
2025-07-20 0.087696 0.136338 0.202329 0.296316 0.424319 0.589908 0.817197
2025-07-27 0.079334 0.128565 0.197484 0.298351 0.439102 0.625076 0.885264
2025-08-03 0.073571 0.123862 0.196309 0.304981 0.459949 0.668590 0.965432
2025-08-10 0.068858 0.120184 0.196133 0.312695 0.482272 0.714535 1.050067
2025-08-17 0.062228 0.112838 0.189874 0.310953 0.490778 0.741449 1.109247
2025-08-24 0.056770 0.106789 0.185005 0.310738 0.501126 0.770905 1.172470
2025-08-31 0.051458 0.100601 0.179639 0.309686 0.510554 0.799966 1.237069
2025-09-07 0.048326 0.097795 0.179370 0.316370 0.531678 0.846416 1.327777
2025-09-14 0.044187 0.092790 0.175102 0.316366 0.542448 0.877955 1.397803
2025-09-21 0.040419 0.088054 0.170871 0.316041 0.552507 0.908553 1.467150
2025-09-28 0.037013 0.083625 0.166784 0.315593 0.562158 0.938635 1.536384
2025-10-05 0.034623 0.080891 0.165408 0.319501 0.578774 0.979638 1.622914
2025-10-12 0.033089 0.079686 0.166631 0.327822 0.602757 1.032554 1.728741
2025-10-19 0.030816 0.076737 0.164440 0.330018 0.616632 1.070044 1.811886
2025-10-26 0.029387 0.075398 0.165111 0.337219 0.639014 1.121413 1.917592
2025-11-02 0.028201 0.074457 0.166441 0.345602 0.663608 1.176879 2.030932
2025-11-09 0.025897 0.070805 0.162270 0.343705 0.670472 1.204028 2.100455